Forensic Analysis · Transportation / Logistics · as of Aug 8, 2026

Union Pacific Corp (UNP)

A forensic read on Union Pacific Corp built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

A · High-quality compounder

Forensic grade

Safe

Financial health

7.8

Distress distance

Clean

Earnings quality

Forensic signals

23.9

P / E (ttm)

38.7%

ROE

$175.5B

Market cap

1.92%

Dividend yield

1.1%

Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (red flags, auditor quality, say on pay, board independence). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Union Pacific Corp earns an A (High-quality compounder) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 7.8, placing it in the Safe zone. 2 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by return on invested capital.

What the filings flag

12.1%

FY2025

Return on invested capital. Return on invested capital is 12.1% in the latest fiscal year and steady — a modest positive spread over its ~9% cost of capital — growth adds value, though not dramatically.

108% of FCF

FY2025

Shareholder returns. Returned $5.9B to shareholders (buybacks + dividends) in FY2025 — 108% of free cash flow. Right at the limit of what free cash flow covers — little room before it's funded by debt or the balance sheet. That ratio has actually been EASING, not tightening further — down from ~164% of free cash flow a few years back. Counting the $142M of stock-based comp paid out in shares on top of that, the combined claim on free cash flow is 110%.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$24.51B

Revenue Growth YoY+1.1%

Revenue CAGR (3yr)-0.5%

Net Margin29.1%

Free Cash Flow$5.50B

Return on Equity38.7%

Debt / Equity1.72x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Aug 8, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.