The warning signs were in the filings — months before the headlines.
We don't claim to predict the future. We claim something narrower and checkable: the kinds of signal our engine reads — cash that never matches reported profit, balance-sheet fragility, revenue outrunning its receivables — were sitting in the public SEC filings before Carvana, Bed Bath & Beyond, Peloton and the rest came apart. Below is the same deterministic engine replayed on those companies' filings truncated to before the blow-up, plus documented cases — Wirecard, SVB and others — mapped to the same signal classes, and the calibration behind it. No LLM guesswork, reproducible.
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Informational only — not investment advice. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.
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