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The proof · before they collapsed

The warning signs were in the filings — months before the headlines.

We don't claim to predict the future. We claim something narrower and checkable: the kinds of signal our engine reads — among them returns on invested capital, cash returned beyond free cash flow, share-count growth, accruals and inventory against cost of sales — were sitting in the public SEC filings before Carvana, Bed Bath & Beyond, Peloton and the rest came apart. Below is the same deterministic engine replayed on those companies' filings truncated to before the blow-up, plus documented cases — Wirecard, SVB and others — mapped to the same signal classes, and the calibration behind it. No LLM guesswork, reproducible.

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Informational only — not investment advice. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.

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Informational only · not investment advice · no credit card