Forensic Analysis · Retail / Consumer Discretionary · as of Nov 9, 2026

Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO)

A forensic read on Tractor Supply Co /De/ built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

B · Sound & dependable

Forensic grade

Safe

Financial health

4.0

Distress distance

Clean

Earnings quality

Forensic signals

45.2%

ROE

4.3%

Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Tractor Supply Co /De/ earns a B (Sound & dependable) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 4.0, placing it in the Safe zone. 1 forensic signal was flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by shareholder returns.

What the filings flag

115% of FCF

FY2025

Shareholder returns. Returned $849M to shareholders (buybacks + dividends) in FY2025 — 115% of free cash flow, but 52% of operating cash flow. Returns run ahead of free cash flow because the business is also funding heavy growth capex (usually debt-financed); the payout itself is covered by operating cash — sustainable as long as that spending is genuine expansion, not upkeep. Counting the $57M of stock-based comp paid out in shares on top of that, the combined claim on free cash flow is 122%.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$15.52B

Revenue Growth YoY+4.3%

Revenue CAGR (2yr)+3.3%

Net Margin7.1%

Free Cash Flow$740.5M

Return on Equity45.2%

Debt / Equity0.68x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Nov 9, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.

See a wrong number? Report an error with the filing it should match.