Forensic Analysis · Industrials / Manufacturing / Defense · as of Jun 28, 2026
Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/ (SERV)
A forensic read on Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/ built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
D · Weak — demands caution
Forensic grade
Safe
Financial health
12.8
Altman Z-score
Watch
Earnings quality
5
Forensic signals
-47.3%
ROE
$465M
Market cap
Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/ earns a D (Weak — demands caution) forensic quality grade, and its Altman Z-score is 12.8, placing it in the Safe zone. 5 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by accruals ratio.
What the filings flag
+186.7%Accruals ratio.Net operating assets grew +186.7% relative to their average in FY2025 — the accrual component of earnings. Accruals are building sharply — a large slice of profit sits in operating assets, not cash; Richardson/Sloan link high accruals to weaker future returns as they reverse. The cash-flow cross-check agrees: reported earnings ran behind operating cash by -17% of net operating assets.
117d DSOReceivables vs revenue.Days sales outstanding moved from 18 to 117 days FY2024→FY2025 (receivables +878% vs revenue +46%). Receivables are outrunning sales — a flag for aggressive revenue recognition or slipping collections.
-36%Return on invested capital.Return on invested capital is -36% and rising from -857% — well below its ~9% cost of capital, so reinvested dollars may be destroying value, not building it.
+267.7%/yrShare-count dilution.Diluted share count changed +803% over the last 3 years to FY2025 (+267.7%/yr). The count is GROWING — existing holders are being diluted. That's ~267.7% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2022 has been diluted ~803%.
802% of revStock-based comp load.Stock-based compensation ran 802% of revenue in FY2025 — about $0.34 per diluted share. Meaningful — reported free cash flow flatters the economics, since SBC is a real cost paid in shares.
Key fundamentals
Net Margin-3823.5%
Free Cash Flow$-117.6M
Latest Revenue$2.7M
Return on Equity-28.9%
Revenue Growth YoY+46.2%
Go deeper — free with an account
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. An account adds the full interactive deep-dive on Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/:
🔒The written investment read — what the numbers mean, in plain English
🔒Ask anything about SERV's filings — AI Q&A across the 10-K, 10-Qs & 8-Ks
🔒Interactive valuation — reverse-DCF sliders, Monte Carlo & scenario stress
🔒Calibrated 12-month price forecast, with the math shown