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Forensic Analysis · Refining & Downstream · as of Nov 10, 2026

Phillips 66 (PSX)

A forensic read on Phillips 66 built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

B · Sound & dependable
Forensic grade
Clean
Earnings quality
1
Forensic signals
15.6%
ROE
-7.5%
Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Phillips 66 earns a B (Sound & dependable) forensic quality grade. 1 forensic signal was flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by shareholder returns.

What the filings flag

115% of FCF
FY2025
Shareholder returns. Returned $3.1B to shareholders (buybacks + dividends) in FY2025 — 115% of free cash flow, but 63% of operating cash flow. Returns run ahead of free cash flow because the business is also funding heavy growth capex (usually debt-financed); the payout itself is covered by operating cash — sustainable as long as that spending is genuine expansion, not upkeep. Counting the $220M of stock-based comp paid out in shares on top of that, the combined claim on free cash flow is 123%.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$132.38B
Revenue Growth YoY-7.5%
Revenue CAGR (2yr)-5.2%
Net Margin3.3%
Free Cash Flow$2.73B
Return on Equity15.6%
Debt / Equity0.68x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Nov 10, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.

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