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Forensic Analysis · Upstream Exploration & Production · as of Nov 8, 2026

Permian Resources Corp (PR)

A forensic read on Permian Resources Corp built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

B · Sound & dependable
Forensic grade
Grey Zone
Financial health
2.4
Distress distance
Clean
Earnings quality
3
Forensic signals
9.6%
ROE
1.3%
Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Permian Resources Corp earns a B (Sound & dependable) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 2.4, placing it in the Grey zone. 3 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by share-count dilution.

What the filings flag

+37.1%/yr
FY2023–FY2025
Share-count dilution. Diluted share count changed +88% over the last 2 years to FY2025 (+37.1%/yr). The count is growing — 389.1M shares in FY2023, 731.0M in FY2025: more stock was issued than repurchased over this window, so aggregate results grew faster than their per-share equivalents. That's ~37.1% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2023 has been diluted ~47%.
7.5%
FY2025
Return on invested capital. Return on invested capital is 7.5% in the latest fiscal year, against 6.8% in FY2023, having run between 6.8% and 9.8% across FY2023–FY2025 with no direction held. After-tax operating profit was $931M in FY2023 and $1.2B in FY2025, with operating income at 35.1% of revenue in FY2023, 34.9% in FY2024 and 28.9% in FY2025. The capital base behind it cannot be compared across FY2023–FY2025: short-term debt is tagged in one of those two fiscal years and not the other, and an untagged line enters this calculation as zero, so any change in the base would be a change in what the filer tagged.
1.4% of rev
FY2025
Stock-based comp load. Stock-based compensation ran 1.4% of revenue and 2% of free cash flow in FY2025 — about $0.10 per diluted share. No cash left the business to pay it, which is why operating cash flow adds it back. Net of repurchases the diluted count still rose about 37.1% a year across FY2023–FY2025, and the rate is falling. Stock compensation is one source of that issuance; acquisition consideration, equity raises, convertibles and other employee plans also net into the count, and these figures do not separate them.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$5.07B
Revenue Growth YoY+1.3%
Revenue CAGR (2yr)+27.4%
Net Margin18.5%
Free Cash Flow$3.59B
Return on Equity9.6%
Debt / Equity0.34x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Nov 8, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.

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