Forensic Analysis · Industrials / Manufacturing / Defense · as of Jun 27, 2026
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV)
A forensic read on Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
D · Weak — demands caution
Forensic grade
Distress
Financial health
-7.3
Altman Z-score
Clean
Earnings quality
4
Forensic signals
-171.0%
ROE
$750M
Market cap
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. earns a D (Weak — demands caution) forensic quality grade, and its Altman Z-score is -7.3, placing it in the Distress zone. 4 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by accruals ratio.
What the filings flag
+23.0%Accruals ratio.Net operating assets grew +23.0% relative to their average in FY2025 — the accrual component of earnings. Accruals are building sharply — a large slice of profit sits in operating assets, not cash; Richardson/Sloan link high accruals to weaker future returns as they reverse. The cash-flow cross-check agrees: reported earnings ran behind operating cash by -87% of net operating assets.
-40%Return on invested capital.Return on invested capital is -40% and rising from -56% — well below its ~9% cost of capital, so reinvested dollars may be destroying value, not building it.
+10.1%/yrShare-count dilution.Diluted share count changed +30% over the last 3 years to FY2025 (+10.1%/yr). The count is GROWING — existing holders are being diluted. That's ~10.1% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2022 has been diluted ~30%.
18% of revStock-based comp load.Stock-based compensation ran 18% of revenue in FY2025 — about $0.23 per diluted share. Meaningful — reported free cash flow flatters the economics, since SBC is a real cost paid in shares.
Key fundamentals
Net Margin-50.9%
Debt / Equity1.40x
Free Cash Flow$-46.7M
Latest Revenue$203.7M
Return on Equity-153.6%
Revenue Growth YoY+340.9%
Go deeper — free with an account
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. An account adds the full interactive deep-dive on Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.:
🔒The written investment read — what the numbers mean, in plain English
🔒Ask anything about NRGV's filings — AI Q&A across the 10-K, 10-Qs & 8-Ks
🔒Interactive valuation — reverse-DCF sliders, Monte Carlo & scenario stress
🔒Calibrated 12-month price forecast, with the math shown