Forensic Analysis · OEM & Vehicle Bodies · as of Nov 8, 2026

Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID)

A forensic read on Lucid Group, Inc. built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

D · Weak — demands caution

Forensic grade

Distress

Financial health

-8.2

Distress distance

Forensic signals

-117.6%

ROE

67.6%

Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Lucid Group, Inc. earns a D (Weak — demands caution) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads -8.2, placing it in the Distress zone. 2 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by share-count dilution.

What the filings flag

+22.7%/yr

FY2023–FY2025

Share-count dilution. Diluted share count changed +51% over the last 2 years to FY2025 (+22.7%/yr). The count is growing — 208.2M shares in FY2023, 313.4M in FY2025: more stock was issued than repurchased over this window, so aggregate results grew faster than their per-share equivalents. That's ~22.7% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2023 has been diluted ~34%.

20% of rev

FY2025

Stock-based comp load. Stock-based compensation ran 20% of revenue in FY2025 — about $0.87 per diluted share. No cash left the business to pay it, which is why operating cash flow adds it back. Net of repurchases the diluted count still rose about 22.7% a year across FY2023–FY2025 and that rate is not falling, so total profit has to grow by that much annually before any of it reaches a share. Stock compensation is one source of that issuance; acquisition consideration, equity raises, convertibles and other employee plans also net into the count, and these figures do not separate them.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$1.35B

Revenue Growth YoY+67.6%

Revenue CAGR (2yr)+50.8%

Net Margin-199.3%

Free Cash Flow-$3.80B

Return on Equity-117.6%

Debt / Equity3.79x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Nov 8, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.

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