Forensic Analysis · Transportation / Logistics · as of Aug 11, 2026

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO)

A forensic read on Gxo Logistics, Inc. built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

D · Weak — demands caution

Forensic grade

Distress

Financial health

0.6

Distress distance

Clean

Earnings quality

Forensic signals

41.9

P / E (ttm)

1.1%

ROE

$5.4B

Market cap

12.5%

Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (red flags, auditor quality, say on pay, board independence). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Gxo Logistics, Inc. earns a D (Weak — demands caution) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 0.6, placing it in the Distress zone. 3 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by return on invested capital.

What the filings flag

2.0%

FY2025

Return on invested capital. Return on invested capital is 2.0% in the latest fiscal year and steady — well below its ~9% cost of capital, so reinvested dollars may be destroying value, not building it.

-0.4%/yr

FY2022–FY2025

Share count. Diluted share count changed -1% over the last 3 years to FY2025 (-0.4%/yr). Roughly flat — buybacks ($200M) are about offsetting stock comp ($47M), not shrinking the count. Per-share value isn't being meaningfully helped or hurt by the count.

182% of FCF

FY2025

Shareholder returns. Returned $200M to shareholders (buybacks + dividends) in FY2025 — 182% of free cash flow, but 46% of operating cash flow. Returns run ahead of free cash flow, with the gap funded by debt or cash reserves rather than the cash the business itself throws off; the payout itself is still covered by operating cash. Counting the $47M of stock-based comp paid out in shares on top of that, the combined claim on free cash flow is 225%.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$13.18B

Revenue Growth YoY+12.5%

Revenue CAGR (3yr)+13.6%

Net Margin0.2%

Free Cash Flow$110.0M

Return on Equity1.1%

Debt / Equity1.03x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Aug 11, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.