Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Stock — Forensic Analysis, Red Flags & Rating | Stockonomy · Stockonomy
Forensic Analysis · Consumer Staples / Food & Beverage · as of Aug 12, 2026
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL)
A forensic read on Vital Farms, Inc. built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
C · Mixed — selective
Forensic grade
Safe
Financial health
7.0
Distress distance
Watch
Earnings quality
3
Forensic signals
11.2
P / E (ttm)
18.9%
ROE
$496M
Market cap
25.3%
Revenue growth
This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (red flags, auditor quality, say on pay, board independence). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.
Vital Farms, Inc. earns a C (Mixed — selective) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 7.0, placing it in the Safe zone. 3 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by accruals ratio (% of noa).
What the filings flag
+87.3%
FY2024→FY2025
Accruals ratio (% of NOA).Net operating assets grew +87.3% relative to their own average in FY2025 — scaled by NOA itself, not total assets (see the Forensic Screens card's differently-scaled Sloan Accrual Ratio for that read). Accruals are building sharply — a large slice of profit sits in operating assets, not cash; Richardson/Sloan link high accruals to weaker future returns as they reverse. The build is led by inventory up +181% against +26% in cost of sales and PP&E up +90% against revenue +25%. The cash-flow cross-check agrees: reported earnings ran ahead of operating cash by 15% of net operating assets.
+1.9%/yr
FY2022–FY2025
Share-count dilution.Diluted share count changed +6% over the last 3 years to FY2025 (+1.9%/yr). The count is growing: more stock was issued than repurchased over this window, so aggregate results grew faster than their per-share equivalents. That's ~1.9% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2022 has been diluted ~6%.
35d
FY2024→FY2025
Inventory days.Days inventory outstanding moved from 27 to 35 FY2024→FY2025 (against cost of goods sold; inventory +181% vs +26% in cost of sales). Inventory is building a little faster than sales — watch for markdowns.
Key fundamentals
Latest Revenue$759.4M
Revenue Growth YoY+25.3%
Revenue CAGR (3yr)+27.9%
Net Margin8.7%
Free Cash Flow-$48.2M
Return on Equity18.9%
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. Want the AI investment read on top — the 0–100 rating, thesis, bull-vs-bear, red flags and the 12-month scenario, written from Vital Farms, Inc.'s actual 10-K/10-Q/8-K filings?