Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Stock — Forensic Analysis, Red Flags & Rating | Stockonomy · Stockonomy
Forensic Analysis · Retail / Consumer Discretionary · as of Sep 25, 2026
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)
A forensic read on Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
F · Poor — capital at risk
Forensic grade
Distress
Financial health
-2.4
Distress distance
Clean
Earnings quality
4
Forensic signals
-3.1%
Revenue growth
The financial-health reading above compares this company's equity at BOOK value, not at what the market currently pays for it — this free snapshot doesn't pull live market data. Treat it as a rough read, not the final word.
This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (red flags, auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern, valuation). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc earns an F (Poor — capital at risk) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads -2.4, placing it in the Distress zone (based on book value, not market value, since this free snapshot doesn't pull live market data — treat this zone as a rough read, not the final word). 4 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by return on invested capital.
What the filings flag
0.6%
FY2025
Return on invested capital.Return on invested capital is 0.6% in the latest fiscal year, against 0.7% in FY2023, having run between -10.0% and 0.7% across FY2023–FY2025 with no direction held. After-tax operating profit was $4M in FY2023 and $2M in FY2025, with operating income at 0.3% of revenue in FY2023, -4.3% in FY2024 and 0.2% in FY2025. The capital base behind it cannot be compared across FY2023–FY2025: short-term debt is tagged in one of those two fiscal years and not the other, and an untagged line enters this calculation as zero, so any change in the base would be a change in what the filer tagged. FY2023's operating profit carried a $9M asset write-down that alone took about 1.4 points off that year's return, so the FY2025 return is being compared with a base year that charge had already pulled down. FY2024's operating profit carried a $33M asset write-down that alone took about 6.2 points off that year's return; FY2024 sits between the two ends of FY2023–FY2025, so the charge shapes the path between them without moving the change across it.
+6.0%/yr
FY2023–FY2025
Share-count dilution.Diluted share count changed +12% over the last 2 years to FY2025 (+6.0%/yr). The count is growing: more stock was issued than repurchased over this window, so aggregate results grew faster than their per-share equivalents. That's ~6.0% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2023 has been diluted ~11%.
0.1% of rev
FY2025
Stock-based comp load.Stock-based compensation ran 0.1% of revenue and 24% of free cash flow in FY2025 — about $0.08 per diluted share. No cash left the business to pay it, which is why operating cash flow adds it back. Net of repurchases the diluted count still rose about 6.2% a year and that rate is not falling, so total profit has to grow by that much annually before any of it reaches a share. Stock compensation is one source of that issuance; acquisition consideration, equity raises, convertibles and other employee plans also net into the count, and these figures do not separate them.
Key fundamentals
Latest Revenue$1.21B
Revenue Growth YoY-3.1%
Revenue CAGR (2yr)-3.6%
Net Margin-1.9%
Free Cash Flow$6.2M
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. Want the AI investment read on top — the 0–100 rating, thesis, bull-vs-bear, red flags and the 12-month scenario, written from Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc's actual 10-K/10-Q/8-K filings?
Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Sep 25, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.
stopped
FY2023→FY2025
Shareholder returns — halted.Capital returns have STOPPED — $10M of buybacks + dividends in FY2023, but ~$0 in FY2025. A halt usually means the company is conserving cash.