O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) Stock — Forensic Analysis, Red Flags & Rating | Stockonomy · Stockonomy
Forensic Analysis · Retail / Consumer Discretionary · as of Aug 7, 2026
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)
A forensic read on O Reilly Automotive Inc built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
C · Mixed — selective
Forensic grade
Safe
Financial health
4.8
Distress distance
Clean
Earnings quality
4
Forensic signals
28.9
P / E (ttm)
$75.9B
Market cap
6.4%
Revenue growth
This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (red flags, auditor quality, say on pay, board independence). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.
O Reilly Automotive Inc earns a C (Mixed — selective) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 4.8, placing it in the Safe zone. 4 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by accruals ratio (% of noa).
What the filings flag
+22.9%
FY2024→FY2025
Accruals ratio (% of NOA).Net operating assets grew +22.9% relative to their own average in FY2025 — scaled by NOA itself, not total assets (see the Forensic Screens card's differently-scaled Sloan Accrual Ratio for that read). Accruals are building sharply — a large slice of profit sits in operating assets, not cash; Richardson/Sloan link high accruals to weaker future returns as they reverse. The build is led by inventory up +12% against +6% in cost of sales and PP&E up +12% against revenue +6%. This is the third straight fiscal year of building accruals — a multi-year streak is a materially stronger tell than a single year's move. The cash-flow cross-check is more mixed: reported earnings ran in line with operating cash by 5% of net operating assets, diverging from the balance-sheet accrual read.
230d
FY2024→FY2025
Inventory days.Days inventory outstanding moved from 218 to 230 FY2024→FY2025 (against cost of goods sold; inventory +12% vs +6% in cost of sales). Inventory is building a little faster than sales — watch for markdowns.
n/m (stock split)
FY2022–FY2025
Share count (stock split).Diluted share count changed +1218% over the last 3 years to FY2025, but that includes a large one-time change around FY2023 consistent with a stock split or reverse split, not gradual buybacks or issuance — a split changes the count with NO effect on any holder's proportional ownership, so the raw +136.2%/yr figure isn't a real buyback/dilution read here.
132% of FCF
FY2025
Shareholder returns.Returned $2.1B to shareholders (buybacks + dividends) in FY2025 — 132% of free cash flow, but 76% of operating cash flow. Returns run ahead of free cash flow because the business is also funding heavy growth capex (usually debt-financed); the payout itself is covered by operating cash — sustainable as long as that spending is genuine expansion, not upkeep. Counting the $35M of stock-based comp paid out in shares on top of that, the combined claim on free cash flow is 134%.
Key fundamentals
Latest Revenue$17.78B
Revenue Growth YoY+6.4%
Revenue CAGR (3yr)+7.3%
Net Margin14.3%
Free Cash Flow$1.59B
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. Want the AI investment read on top — the 0–100 rating, thesis, bull-vs-bear, red flags and the 12-month scenario, written from O Reilly Automotive Inc's actual 10-K/10-Q/8-K filings?