Forensic Analysis · Communications Equipment & Electronic Components · as of Nov 8, 2026
Ondas Inc. (ONDS)
A forensic read on Ondas Inc. built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
D · Weak — demands caution
Forensic grade
Grey Zone
Financial health
2.4
Distress distance
Clean
Earnings quality
4
Forensic signals
-58.2%
ROE
605.3%
Revenue growth
This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.
Ondas Inc. earns a D (Weak — demands caution) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 2.4, placing it in the Grey zone. 4 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by return on invested capital.
What the filings flag
-19.7%
FY2025
Return on invested capital.Return on invested capital is -19.7% in the latest fiscal year, against -76.1% in FY2023, having run between -77.7% and -19.7% across FY2023–FY2025 with no direction held. After-tax operating profit was ($31M) in FY2023 and ($46M) in FY2025, with operating income at -253.2% of revenue in FY2023, -481.1% in FY2024 and -115.1% in FY2025. The capital base behind it grew +469% across FY2023–FY2025, from $41M to $235M, and the return did not fall doing it, so the dollars added over that window earned at least the -76.1% the older base was already earning.
+105.1%/yr
FY2023–FY2025
Share-count dilution.Diluted share count changed +320% over the last 2 years to FY2025 (+105.1%/yr). The count is growing — 52.7M shares in FY2023, 221.8M in FY2025: more stock was issued than repurchased over this window, so aggregate results grew faster than their per-share equivalents. That's ~105.1% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2023 has been diluted ~76%.
32% of rev
FY2025
Stock-based comp load.Stock-based compensation ran 32% of revenue in FY2025 — about $0.07 per diluted share. No cash left the business to pay it, which is why operating cash flow adds it back. Net of repurchases the diluted count still rose about 105.1% a year across FY2023–FY2025 and that rate is not falling, so total profit has to grow by that much annually before any of it reaches a share. Stock compensation is one source of that issuance; acquisition consideration, equity raises, convertibles and other employee plans also net into the count, and these figures do not separate them.
n/m (sign flip)
FY2024→FY2025
Accruals ratio (% of NOA).Net operating assets flipped from positive to negative FY2024→FY2025 (FY2024 $+6.3M to FY2025 $-79.1M) — the standard accruals ratio divides by the average of the two, which collapses toward zero right as the sign changes, so the resulting percentage is a denominator artifact, not a real accrual measurement. Treat this as a structural balance-sheet shift to understand on its own terms rather than a clean or dirty accruals read.Accruals ratio: the year-over-year change in net operating assets, relative to their own average.NOA (net operating assets): the money tied up in running the business, operating assets minus operating liabilities.
Key fundamentals
Latest Revenue$50.7M
Revenue Growth YoY+605.3%
Revenue CAGR (2yr)+79.8%
Net Margin-260.7%
Free Cash Flow-$40.8M
Return on Equity-58.2%
Debt / Equity0.00x
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. Want the AI investment read on top — the 0–100 rating, thesis, bull-vs-bear, red flags and the 12-month scenario, written from Ondas Inc.'s actual 10-K/10-Q/8-K filings?