Forensic Analysis · Other Metal Mining · as of Nov 10, 2026
Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP)
A forensic read on Mp Materials Corp. / De built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
F · Poor — capital at risk
Forensic grade
Safe
Financial health
4.5
Distress distance
Watch
Earnings quality
3
Forensic signals
-5.7%
ROE
10.1%
Revenue growth
This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.
Mp Materials Corp. / De earns an F (Poor — capital at risk) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 4.5, placing it in the Safe zone. 3 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by accruals ratio (% of NOA).
What the filings flag
+27.8%
FY2024→FY2025
Accruals ratio (% of NOA).Net operating assets grew +27.8% relative to their own average in FY2025 — scaled by NOA itself, not by total assets, which is what the Forensic Screens card's own accrual row divides by. Accruals are building sharply — a large slice of profit sits in operating assets, not cash. An accrual is a claim that still has to be collected or written down, so the gap resolves in a later period whichever way it goes. The build is led by inventory up +59% against +10% in revenue and PP&E up +9% against revenue +10%. A cash-flow measure on the same base disagrees: reported earnings ran in line with operating cash by 4% of net operating assets, against an accruals ratio of 27.8%. The two are computed differently: the accruals ratio is the change in net operating assets over average net operating assets, while the cash-flow figure is net income less operating cash flow over that same average. Read them as two results, not one.Accruals ratio: the year-over-year change in net operating assets, relative to their own average.NOA (net operating assets): the money tied up in running the business, operating assets minus operating liabilities.
-5.4%
FY2025
Return on invested capital.Return on invested capital is -5.4% in the latest fiscal year, against -0.7% in FY2023, having run between -7.0% and -0.7% across FY2023–FY2025 with no direction held. After-tax operating profit was ($13M) in FY2023 and ($118M) in FY2025, with operating income at -7.0% of revenue in FY2023, -83.1% in FY2024 and -66.6% in FY2025. The capital base behind it cannot be compared across FY2023–FY2025: short-term debt is tagged in one of those two fiscal years and not the other, and an untagged line enters this calculation as zero, so any change in the base would be a change in what the filer tagged. $616M of the $2.2B base at FY2025 is short-term investments (28.3%) — securities held beside cash, which the base keeps because only cash is subtracted from it; they earn the balance sheet's yield, which is not in the operating profit above, so the loss on the operating capital is larger than this rate shows.
stopped
FY2024→FY2025
Shareholder returns — halted.Capital returns have STOPPED — $225M of buybacks + dividends in FY2024, but ~$0 in FY2025. A halt usually means the company is conserving cash.
Key fundamentals
Latest Revenue$224.4M
Revenue Growth YoY+10.1%
Revenue CAGR (2yr)-5.9%
Net Margin-38.3%
Free Cash Flow-$328.1M
Return on Equity-5.7%
Debt / Equity0.50x
The forensic grade and screens above are free — no account needed. Want the AI investment read on top — the 0–100 rating, thesis, bull-vs-bear, red flags and the 12-month scenario, written from Mp Materials Corp. / De's actual 10-K/10-Q/8-K filings?