Forensic Analysis · Industrials / Manufacturing / Defense · as of Jun 27, 2026
Dauch Corp (DCH)
A forensic read on Dauch Corp built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
D · Weak — demands caution
Forensic grade
Grey Zone
Financial health
2.5
Altman Z-score
Clean
Earnings quality
4
Forensic signals
-14.4%
ROE
$1.3B
Market cap
Dauch Corp earns a D (Weak — demands caution) forensic quality grade, and its Altman Z-score is 2.5, placing it in the Grey zone. 4 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by accruals ratio.
What the filings flag
+40.5%Accruals ratio. Net operating assets grew +40.5% relative to their average in FY2025 — the accrual component of earnings. Accruals are building sharply — a large slice of profit sits in operating assets, not cash; Richardson/Sloan link high accruals to weaker future returns as they reverse. The cash-flow cross-check agrees: reported earnings ran behind operating cash by -13% of net operating assets.
1%Return on invested capital. Return on invested capital is 1% and slipping from 6% — well below its ~9% cost of capital, so reinvested dollars may be destroying value, not building it.
+0.8%/yrShare-count dilution. Diluted share count changed +3% over the last 3 years to FY2025 (+0.8%/yr). Roughly flat — buybacks are about offsetting stock comp, not shrinking the count. Per-share value isn't being meaningfully helped or hurt by the count.
$950MGoodwill impairments. Took $950M of goodwill writedowns across 2 year(s) (FY2019 ($440M), FY2020 ($510M)). Writedowns mean past acquisitions underperformed what was paid for them — worth weighing on capital-allocation skill.
Key fundamentals
Net Margin-0.3%
Debt / Equity6.40x
Free Cash Flow$155.1M
Latest Revenue$5.84B
Return on Equity-3.1%
Revenue Growth YoY-4.7%
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🔒Interactive valuation — reverse-DCF sliders, Monte Carlo & scenario stress
🔒Calibrated 12-month price forecast, with the math shown
🔒Peer comparison + filing-change monitoring & alerts
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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Jun 27, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.