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Forensic Analysis · Machinery & Fabricated Metal Products · as of Nov 9, 2026

Agco Corp (AGCO)

A forensic read on Agco Corp built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.

B · Sound & dependable
Forensic grade
Safe
Financial health
3.4
Distress distance
Clean
Earnings quality
3
Forensic signals
18.1%
ROE
-13.5%
Revenue growth

This free snapshot doesn't read filing or proxy text, so the auditor-quality and governance checks that can lower a grade were not evaluated (auditor quality, say on pay, board independence, going concern). Those checks only ever lower a grade, so the full analysis can land below the grade above but never above it — treat it as the most favourable reading, not the settled one.

Agco Corp earns a B (Sound & dependable) forensic quality grade, and its balance-sheet distress test reads 3.4, placing it in the Safe zone. 3 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by return on invested capital.

What the filings flag

7.3%
FY2025
Return on invested capital. Return on invested capital is 7.3% in the latest fiscal year, against 21.6% in FY2023, having run between -1.4% and 21.6% across FY2023–FY2025 with no direction held. After-tax operating profit was $1.4B in FY2023 and $536M in FY2025, with operating income at 11.8% of revenue in FY2023, -1.0% in FY2024 and 5.9% in FY2025. The capital base behind it grew +13% across FY2023–FY2025, from $6.5B to $7.3B, while the return fell 14.3 points, so the dollars added over that window earned less than the 21.6% the older base was already earning. FY2024's operating profit carried a $370M asset write-down, a $354M goodwill write-off and a $158M restructuring charge that alone took about 10.2 points off that year's return; FY2024 sits between the two ends of FY2023–FY2025, so the charge shapes the path between them without moving the change across it. A non-cash write-down lowers the reported return in the year it lands.
$354M
FY2024
Goodwill impairments. Took $354M of goodwill writedowns across 1 year (FY2024 ($354M)). Writedowns mean past acquisitions underperformed what was paid for them.
-68%
FY2024→FY2025
Dividend — cut. The payout was CUT ~68% in FY2025 (from FY2024). It still returns some cash, but it is NOT the dependable, rising dividend an unbroken streak implies.

Key fundamentals

Latest Revenue$10.08B
Revenue Growth YoY-13.5%
Revenue CAGR (2yr)-16.4%
Net Margin7.2%
Free Cash Flow$740.2M
Return on Equity18.1%
Debt / Equity0.57x

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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Nov 9, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.

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