Forensic Analysis · Energy / Oil & Gas · as of Jun 27, 2026
Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ)
A forensic read on Trilogy Metals Inc. built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
C · Mixed — selective
Forensic grade
Clean
Earnings quality
1
Forensic signals
-36.2%
ROE
$579M
Market cap
Trilogy Metals Inc. earns a C (Mixed — selective) forensic quality grade. 1 forensic signal was flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by share-count dilution.
What the filings flag
+4.4%/yrShare-count dilution. Diluted share count changed +13% over the last 3 years to FY2025 (+4.4%/yr). The count is GROWING — existing holders are being diluted. That's ~4.4% shaved off per-share growth every year — total profit has to grow that much just to keep earnings-per-share flat, and a stake held since FY2022 has been diluted ~13%.
Key fundamentals
Free Cash Flow$-3.9M
Return on Equity-34.0%
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🔒Interactive valuation — reverse-DCF sliders, Monte Carlo & scenario stress
🔒Calibrated 12-month price forecast, with the math shown
🔒Peer comparison + filing-change monitoring & alerts
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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Jun 27, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.