Forensic Analysis · Industrials / Manufacturing / Defense · as of Jun 27, 2026
HONDA MOTOR CO LTD (HMC)
A forensic read on HONDA MOTOR CO LTD built from its complete SEC filings — financial-health screens, earnings quality, red flags and a price-aware rating. Reproducible math, not opinion.
B · Sound & dependable
Forensic grade
Clean
Earnings quality
3
Forensic signals
-3.5%
ROE
$39.6B
Market cap
5.01%
Dividend yield
HONDA MOTOR CO LTD earns a B (Sound & dependable) forensic quality grade. 3 forensic signals were flagged in its latest SEC filings, led by return on invested capital.
What the filings flag
10%Return on invested capital. Return on invested capital is 10% and rising from 9% — around its ~9% cost of capital, so growth is roughly value-neutral — watch the trend.
-0.1%/yrShare-count dilution. Diluted share count changed -0% over the last 3 years to FY2014 (-0.1%/yr). Roughly flat — buybacks are about offsetting stock comp, not shrinking the count. Per-share value isn't being meaningfully helped or hurt by the count.
-56%Dividend — cut. The payout was CUT ~56% in FY2010 (from FY2009). It still returns some cash, but it is NOT the dependable, rising dividend an unbroken streak implies — weigh the cut when judging reliability.
Key fundamentals
Net Margin4.2%
Debt / Equity0.36x
Free Cash Flow$-2.98B
Latest Revenue$134.25B
Return on Equity7.2%
Revenue Growth YoY+6.2%
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🔒Interactive valuation — reverse-DCF sliders, Monte Carlo & scenario stress
🔒Calibrated 12-month price forecast, with the math shown
🔒Peer comparison + filing-change monitoring & alerts
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Data from SEC EDGAR public filings · metrics as of Jun 27, 2026. Forensic signals flag probability, not certainty.